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Different strategies for making football predictions

Different strategies for predicting football matches. Some popular methods for making football predictions.
How does the weather conditions affect the outcome of football matches

When making your football predictions usually you take into account factors such as statistics, temporary form of team, history, injured and suspended players, but do you check the weather? This often overlooked factor can often influence the outcome of the matches.
Consider the psychological factors

The statistics largely give us an overview of the temporary state of a team, a team traditions, its class, ambitions, and much more. However, how these different factors affect the team in the upcoming match or series of several games? Each player interprets the data differently and makes own conclusions. An interesting question is how the situation around the team affects the psyche of the footballers and the coaches. Often we witness irrational actions of some players or managers. Especially the managers are often criticized for their decisions, which are sometimes even described by football experts as absurd. Nevertheless, most of the critics forget to put themselves in the situation of a manager or player, working under tremendous pressure.
Predicting Half Time/Full Time

A football prediction for half time/full time is rather difficult to make, but it offers quite high odds. Of course, to succeed in such a bet we need a doze of luck. However, we can not rely solely on luck. There are a lot of considerations that can help us in the preparation of such a prediction. The odds, for a complete or partial reversal in the result in the second half of the match, in most cases start at 13.00 and could even reach the attractive 30.00-40.00.
Searching for value against the favorite

Searching the value in every bet is highly essential. In the article “bet with value” we have clearly explained the term “value” as far as the football precitions are concerned. While managing your football predictions, finding the odds, which present probability equal or greater than the one we have decided for the outcome to happen, is of high importance to our success. Thus, we assume that we are beating the house edge given by the bookies and our bet actually has a “value”.

Predicting with exclusion

In most occasions when we are making a football prediction, we try to conclude what will be the final outcome. However, if we want to increase the chances of success, we might want to reason a bit differently. We can make a conclusion on which of the possible outcomes will not occur.
Predicting Under/Over 2.5 goals

Undoubtedly, betting on Under/Over 2.5 goals became very popular. That is why forebet.com is trying to make it very easy for you to make such a prediction. Most of you might have already noticed the good success of the predictions Under/Over which the forebet algorithm is calculating. These predictions are based on pure mathematics and as we can all see it is giving great results in this case.
Home/Away prediction strategy

This is undoubtedly one of the easiest ways to make your predictions, but probably one of the most effective methods. It is thought that about half of the games in all the leagues end in home wins, another quarter in draws and the rest end in away wins. Therefore, we can conclude that home advantage is real. So having in mind only the home/draw/away results of both sides we can calculate the following probabilities for 1/X/2:

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar : Match Preview & Prediction

Team News

PEC Zwolle
  • Dico Koppers and Philippe Sandler are the only absent players for PEC Zwolle when AZ visit.
AZ Alkmaar
  • John van den Brom is missing at least three players, but should largely keep things unchanged from last time out.

Match Facts

AZ Alkmaar have been drawing at half time and winning at full time in their last 5 matches (Eredivisie).

AZ Alkmaar have won their last 7 matches (Eredivisie).

AZ Alkmaar have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches (Eredivisie).

AZ Alkmaar have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches (Eredivisie).

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in PEC Zwolle‘s last 3 home games (Eredivisie).

PEC Zwolle are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches (Eredivisie).

AZ Alkmaar are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 matches against PEC Zwolle in all competitions.

Top Facts For Today Games

Twente have lost their last 10 away matches (Eredivisie).

AZ Alkmaar have won their last 7 matches (Eredivisie).

Crystal Palace have drawn their last 3 matches (Premier League).

Yeovil have drawn 5 of their last 6 matches (FA Cup).

Ross County have won 9 of their last 11 matches against Kilmarnock in all competitions.

Gent have won 8 of their last 10 matches (Cup).

Pordenone Calcio have won their last 4 matches (Coppa Italia).

Freiburg have won 6 of their last 7 home matches against Borussia M.Gladbach in all competitions.

Piast Gliwice have drawn their last 3 matches (Ekstraklasa).

Kortrijk have drawn their last 3 home matches against Gent in all competitions.

Atalanta have won their last 3 matches against Genoa in all competitions.

Arka Gdynia have won their last 4 home matches against Gornik Zabrze in all competitions.

Bursaspor have won 6 of their last 7 matches against Adanaspor in all competitions.

Trabzonspor have won their last 3 matches (Cup).

Slask Wroclaw have lost their last 3 away matches (Ekstraklasa).

Boluspor have won their last 3 matches (Cup).

Orleans have lost their last 3 matches (Ligue 2).

Jagiellonia Bialystok have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Korona Kielce in all competitions.

Oostende have won their last 3 home matches against Standard Liege in all competitions.

Besiktas have won their last 3 matches against Manisaspor in all competitions.

Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund : Match Preview & Prediction

Team News

Mainz 05
  • Manager Sandro Schwarz could stick with a back-three here as they welcome another attack-minded opponent.
  • Stefan Bell returns from a one-match ban to start at centre-back, while Yoshinori Muto could return from injury to make his comeback up front.
Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund sacked Peter Bosz on Sunday and replaced him with former Cologne head coach Peter Stöger.
  • Marc Bartra could return to the heart of Dortmund’s defence, with Christian Pulisic filling in at right wing-back.
  • Julian Weigl and Nuri Sahin are both expected to return in central midfield, but it remains to be seen whether Stöger will stick with a 3-4-3 formation or switch to a back-four.

Match Facts

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Borussia Dortmund‘s last 12 games (Bundesliga).

Borussia Dortmundareundefeated in 15 of their last 16 matches against Mainz in all competitions.

Borussia Dortmundhaveconceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches (Bundesliga).

Borussia Dortmundhavefailed to win their last 8 matches (Bundesliga).

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Mainz‘s last 3 games (Bundesliga).

Mainz have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Borussia Dortmund in all competitions.

Mainz have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches (Bundesliga).

Prediction

  • Mainz have only won one of their last seven Bundesliga games and therefore find themselves back in the relegation mix. They did hold RB Leipzig to a 2-2 draw at the weekend, though, which should restore some confidence in the team.
  • Borussia Dortmund have only picked up three points from their last eight Bundesliga matches and also crashed out of the Champions League group stages with just two points. Peter Bosz was sacked after another home defeat last weekend and his successor Peter Stöger is expected to improve the team’s balance and confidence straight away.
  • Expect this to be an open game with several chances at both ends of the pitch.
Prediction:

Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05

1

3

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund logo

Huddersfield vs Chelsea : Match Preview & Prediction

Team News

Huddersfield
  • Kasey Palmer is ineligible to face off against his parent club in midweek, but Rajiv van La Parra returns from suspension.
  • Steve Mounie should retain his place up front after scoring a brace at the weekend, but Scott Malone will push for a recall at left-back.
  • Michael Hefele returned to training on Sunday but lacks match fitness and won’t feature.
Chelsea
  • Antonio Conte is expected to make changes to the side that slipped to a shock 1-0 defeat away to West Ham on Saturday.
  • Álvaro Morata will reportedly not feature due to fatigue, which means Michy Batshuayi could be handed a rare start in attack. Alternatively, Eden Hazard will play through the middle with Willian and Pedro in support.
  • Antonio Rudiger and Victor Moses will also push for starts on Tuesday, while Danny Drinkwater will come into consideration if he can recover from illness in time.

Prediction

  • Huddersfield ended a four-game losing streak with a 2-0 win over Brighton on Saturday and the Terriers are now five points above the bottom three.
  • Chelsea missed the chance to draw level with Manchester United in second after slipping to a shock 1-0 defeat to West Ham last season. That ended a seven game unbeaten streak for the reigning Premier League champions.
  • Antonio Conte will demand a response from his players but this will be a difficult match for Chelsea. Huddersfield have already beaten Manchester United at home this season and will look to cause another upset here.
  • Chelsea have only won two of their last five away from home in the league, while Huddersfield have won three of their last four at home. Can Huddersfield inflict further misery on Chelsea?
Prediction:

Huddersfield logo Huddersfield

2

2

Chelsea Chelsea logo

 

Top Facts For Today Games

Torino have drawn their last 4 matches (Serie A).

Karabukspor have lost their last 6 matches (Super Lig).

Feirense have lost 8 of their last 9 matches (Liga NOS).

Braga have won 7 of their last 8 matches (Liga NOS).

FC Midtjylland have won 12 of their last 13 matches against Randers FC in all competitions.

Ludogorets Razgrad have won 10 of their last 12 matches (A PFG).

San Martin San Juan have drawn their last 3 matches against Defensa y Justicia in all competitions.

Defensa y Justicia have won their last 4 matches (Primera División).

FC Midtjylland have won 9 of their last 10 matches (Superliga).

Gaziantepspor have lost their last 6 away matches (TFF 1. Lig).

AEK Athens have won 7 of their last 8 home matches (Super League).

APOEL Nicosia have won their last 5 matches (First Division).

Lokomotiv Moscow have won 5 of their last 6 matches (Premier League).

Dinamo Bucuresti have won their last 6 matches against FC Voluntari in all competitions.

Nimes have won 6 of their last 7 home matches (Ligue 2).

Apollon Limassol have won 7 of their last 8 matches against Omonia Nicosia in all competitions.

Lazio have won their last 3 home matches against Torino in all competitions.

Bursaspor have won 6 of their last 7 matches against Adanaspor in all competitions.

AEL Limassol have won 5 of their last 6 matches (First Division).

Apollon Limassol have won 5 of their last 6 matches (First Division).

Lazio vs Torino : Match Preview & Prediction

Team News

Lazio
  • Felipe Anderson made his first appearance since May on Thursday but is not fit enough to start for the home side just yet. When up to speed, he will rotate with Sergej Milinkovic-Savic and Luis Alberto behind Ciro Immobile.
Torino
  • Antonio Barreca looks set to start at left-back as Cristian Ansaldi is injured and will not travel to Rome.
  • Lyanco and Nicolas Burdisso continue to battle for a spot in defence, with the latter expected to get the nod on Sunday.

Match Facts

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 12 of Lazio‘s last 13 games (Serie A).

Torino have drawn their last 4 matches (Serie A).

Lazio are undefeated in their last 12 home matches against Torino in all competitions.

Lazio have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 home matches against Torino in all competitions.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Torino‘s last 4 games (Serie A).

Lazio have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches against Torino in all competitions

Prediction

  • Lazio came from 1-0 down to win 2-1 away to Sampdoria thanks to two goals in the last 11 minutes. It means they are still only two points adrift of the top four.
  • Torino have drawn four matches in a row and look destined for a mid-table finish this season. Lazio’s late comeback will surely have given them extra confidence ahead of this tough fixture, while Felipe Anderson’s return is also a boost.
Prediction:

Lazio logo Lazio

2

1

Torino Torino logo

Espanyol vs Girona : Match Preview & Prediction

Team News

Espanyol
  • Sergio Garcia misses out due to injury after pulling up early on in Espanyol’s 3-1 defeat against Eibar.
  • Leo Baptistao is fit to start again up front alongside Gerard Moreno, however.
  • No other changes are expected from the hosts, but Javi Fuego, Aaron Martin, David Lopez and Victor Sanchez are all one yellow card from a suspension.
Girona
  • Bernardo, Pedro Alcala and Marc Muniesa are all injured for the home side, leaving them very short at centre-back heading into Monday’s match.
  • David Timor will likely be asked to drop in at centre-back or Bambo could be drafted in for a first La Liga start.
  • Bono will probably retain his place after a hat-trick of howlers in between the sticks against Alaves.

Match Facts

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Girona‘s last 9 games (La Liga).

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Espanyol‘s last 4 home games (La Liga).

Gironahavescored at least 2 goals in their last 4 away matches (La Liga).

Gironaareundefeated in their last 5 away matches (La Liga).

Prediction

  • Espanyol have won their last two competitive home games, with Quique Sanchez Flores’ men continuing to be tough to break down, but unable to score many goals.
  • The hosts have scored just 11 goals in their 14 La Liga games thus far, with five of those coming from Gerard Moreno.
  • Girona have lost just one of their last five competitive games, with their recent 3-2 defeat against Alaves coming due to calamitous goalkeeping.
Prediction:

Espanyol logo Espanyol

1

1

Girona Girona logo

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Match Preview & Prediction

Team News

Real Madrid
  • Dani Carvajal, Sergio Ramos and Casemiro are all missing due to suspension at the weekend for the hosts.
  • Raphael Varane is out due to injury, while Jesus Vallejo is carrying a knock, which could potentially see Marcos Llorente and Nacho play at centre-back.
  • Mateo Kovacic should come into the midfield in Casemiro’s absence, while Marco Asensio is back fit to feature.
Sevilla
  • Steven N’Zonzi has made his desire to leave Sevilla very clear, and Guido Pizarro will continue in midfield.
  • Simon Kjaer should be back fit to partner Clement Lenglet at centre-back, and Sergio Rico could come back in between the sticks.
  • Nolito is expected to be preferred to Joaquin Correa on the left after the ex-Celta man performed well against Deportivo last weekend.

Match Facts

Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in 19 of their last 22 home matches (La Liga).

Real Madrid have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 9 matches against Sevilla in all competitions.

Real Madrid have won 11 of their last 12 home matches against Sevilla in all competitions.

Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in their last 10 home matches against Sevilla in all competitions.

Real Madrid have been winning at both half time and full time in 8 of their last 9 home matches against Sevilla in all competitions.

Sevilla have won their last 3 matches (La Liga).

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Real Madrid‘s last 3 home games (La Liga).

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Sevilla‘s last 3 away games (La Liga).

Sevilla have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches (La Liga).

Sevilla have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 3 away matches (La Liga).

Prediction

  • Real Madrid will want to kick on from a disappointing 0-0 draw with Athletic last time out, but given that they have so many injuries and suspensions, it could be tough for Zinedine Zidane’s men.
  • The hosts have won their last four home La Liga matches, conceding in just one of those contests, but Sevilla have been improving of late in the league.
  • Sevilla are unbeaten in their last six competitive games, but they have won just one of their last five away matches in La Liga. Villarreal are their only victims and it will take a big effort for Los Blancos to be their second.
Prediction:

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid

3

2

Sevilla Sevilla logo

Top Facts For Today Games

Juventus have won 36 of their last 38 home matches (Serie A).

Toronto have won 14 of their last 17 home matches (Major League Soccer).

Monaco have won 16 of their last 18 home matches (Ligue 1).

Benfica have won their last 9 home matches (Liga NOS).

Real Madrid have won 11 of their last 12 home matches against Sevilla in all competitions.

PSG have won their last 8 home matches (Ligue 1).

Metz have lost their last 8 home matches (Ligue 1).

Sporting have won 11 of their last 13 away matches (Liga NOS).

Malaga have lost their last 7 away matches (La Liga).

AZ Alkmaar have won 12 of their last 13 home matches against Heracles in all competitions.

Platanias have lost their last 8 matches (Super League).

AZ Alkmaar have won their last 6 matches (Eredivisie).

Benfica have won 10 of their last 11 matches against Estoril in all competitions.

Botev Plovdiv have drawn their last 5 matches (A PFG).

Chelsea have won 6 of their last 7 matches (Premier League).

Real Madrid have won their last 4 home matches (La Liga).

Galatasaray have won 8 of their last 9 home matches (Super Lig).

Borussia Dortmund have won 9 of their last 10 home matches against Werder Bremen in all competitions.

West Brom have drawn their last 3 matches (Premier League).

Guingamp have drawn their last 3 home matches (Ligue 1).